Solar Constant'
Solar Constant
Construction of a Composite Total Solar Irradiance (TSI) Time Series from 1978 to present
The description of the procedures used to construct the composite from the original data shown in Figure 1 (upper panel) can be found in Fröhlich and Lean [1998]; Fröhlich [2000]. Radiometrically it is based on the ACRIMI and II records; before the start of the ACRIMI measurements in 1980, during the spin mode of SMM, and during the gap between ACRIMI and II, corrected HF data are inserted by shifting the level to fit the corresponding ACRIM data over an overlapping period of 250 days on each side into the ACRIM sets. In early 1996 the VIRGO data take over, again shifted to agree with ACRIMII. Finally the composite record is adjusted via ACRIMII to SARR (Space Absolute Radiometer Reference) which was introduced by Crommelynck et al. [1995] and allows the comparison of different space experiment (done in spring 1993). The data fromERBE and ACRIMIII, as well as an empirical model are used for comparisons and for internal consistency checks. It is important to note that the model is an independent source of information for comparisons and as long as it is not used over solar cycle time scales it provides a reliable time series for time scales of less than a year. So it will be used in all comparisons as it is available as a daily record which is important for the interpolation between ERBE data with their 14day sampling.
The most important issues for the construction of the composite are:
 Correction for the early measurements of HF on NIMBUS 7 to account for its early increase, degradation and nonexposure dependent increase (as described in Fröhlich and Lean [1998] and updated by Fröhlich [2006]).
 Assessment of the early increase and degradation of ACRIMI, also updated by Fröhlich [2006].
 Tracking of ACRIM II to ACRIM I by comparison with only HF, corrected as described in the first bullet (earlier versions used also ERBS and the model, see Fröhlich [2000] and Fröhlich [2003]).
 Detailed assessment of the influence of the many operational interruptions in the ACRIMII record (described in Fröhlich [2004]).
The related problems are discussed in detail in corresponding references (mainly in the recent paper for the ISSI WS2005) and summarized in the following.
The analysis of the PMO6V radiometer of the VIRGO experiment on SOHO allowed not only to develop a model for the
changes, but also to differentiate between effects of quite different origin. From our experience with the radiometer
series for SOVIM, an experiment flown within SOLAR on the International Space Station (until October 2012), and by reexamination of the retrieved
radiometers from EURECA we learned that the early increase is due to a change in absorption of the primary aperture and
its influence on the sensitivity by extra IR radiation and straylight from the baffle. So, it became clear,
that this influence may be important for all radiometers used in space missions, which have their primary aperture
directly in front of the cavity. And, indeed it could be detected in ACRIMI with similar amplitudes as observed for
the PMO6V radiometers of VIRGO. Moreover, tests at TRF of LASP confirmed the large influence for spares of PMO6V and ACRIM3, which also explains the difference in bsolute scale between these classical radiometers and TIM/SORCE of several thenth of a percent.
So the early increase is a change of this effect due a change of the reflectivity of the primary aperture. In a next step degradation ACRIMI has to be modelled again. This is quite straight
forward as the model developed for the PMO6V radiometers taking the dose into account works very well. It is only complicated
by the fact that during the spinmode operation of SMM (after failure of the pointing system of SMM in late 1980 until repair in
1984) the exposure was drastically reduced, which, however, can be taken into account accordingly.
For the HF radiometer the situation is more complicated as there is no backup instrument which can be used for
inflight exposure dependent corrections. So we need a reference for the early observations, which is build from the
proxy model calibrated with corrected ACRIMI (over the period 19801985) and used to extrapolate ACRIMI back to November 1978, the start of NIMBUS7.
Moreover, ERBS data are used as reference after ACRIMI has been terminated.
Another complication is the fact that the time series has many slips which are mainly due to changes in the orientation
of the spacecraft and due to switchoff, which have not been taken into account in the original evaluation. In contrast to the
earlier analysis we determine the sensitivity changes of HF over its full period and the trend needs no longer to be determined
during the ACRIM gap by comparison with ERBS and the proxy model as in Fröhlich [2000]. The final
result of the corrected HF data set is not fundamentally different from what was determined earlier with a much simpler and
more subjective method, but the corrections are now internally consistent and done over the full HF measurement period at
once. It is interesting to note that there is also an increase of sensitivity which is not exposure dependent. similar to the effect on
DIARAD/VIRGO (see also the discussion of the VIRGO TSI data: VIRGO_TSIvers64.pdf).
The magnitude of the correction demonstrates how important they are (up to 1 Wm^{2}).
Figure 1. Comparison of the PMOD composite with original data sets. Smooth full lines indicate that the radiometer is the
basis for the composite and if coincident with zero that no corrections other than an overall shift has been applied. If an
instrument is not used the color of the line is dimmed .The HF record needed the most important corrections mainly for the
longterm changes. The ACRIM I record in 1980 is also changed to take the early increase and a revised version of the
degradation algorithms into account. Results from ERBE, DIARAD/VIRGO (evaluated with the IRMB algorithm) and
TIM/SORCE. are plotted as dotted lines.
PDF Figure
With these corrections we are now ready to refer ACRIMII to ACRIMI. This is done by a weighted average of the ratios of
ACRIMI to the corrected HF and ERBS data and the corresponding average ratios of ACRIMII. With the new treatment of the HF correction,
this radiometer is now independent of ERBS, a further improvement over the earlier analysis. Having done this scaling the rest is
straightforward and consists of adjusting the HF and the ACRIMs to VIRGO. The comparison to the original data is shown in Figure 1 where
the major corrections are obvious: early HF, ACRIMI during 1980, HF during the ACRIM gap.
Figure 2. Comparison of the PMOD composite with the two other composites. The PMOD composite is in this plot on the original scale of VIRGO.
PDF Figure
The final PMODcomposite is shown Figure 2 together with the ACRIM and
IRMB composites. The result of a more detailed comparison
of the three composites with ERBE is presented in Figure 3. After the detection of the early increase in the ACRIMI data set and due
to the fact that the ERBS radiometers are copies of ACRIMII (manufactured by TRW for NASA Langley) and assuming that
both have the same type and geometry of apertures they should behave very similarly for the early increase. As the total exposure time is less
than 3 days only a correction for the earliest increase has to be applied.
Figure 3. Comparison of the PMOD, ACRIM and IRMB composites with ERBE. The result illustrates the jump of the ACRIM
composite over the ACRIM gap which corresponds to the corrections to the HF radiometer applied for the construction
of the PMOD composite. The observed upward trend as seen in Figure 2 has been corrected with the early increase coefficients
of ACRIM I and the dose seen by ERBE as descibed in Fröhlich [2006]. This graph illustrates also quite
impressively how different the result of DIARAD/VIRGO is when it is evaluated with the IRMB algorithm. The fit with an
exponential function which takes also a change over the sohovacation gap into account, confirms independently the non
exposure dependent changes, the VIRGO team has determined and applied. Fortunately, DIARAD and possibly HF are the only
radiometers for which such an effect has been identified. Without comparison with some other independent instruments there is
no way to assess such changes. This was also the reason for VIRGO to have two different types of radiometer.
PDF Figure
An estimate of the uncertainty of the longterm behaviour of the composite TSI can be deduced from the uncertainty of the slope
relative to ERBE. For the PMOD composite the slope over the whole period amounts s to 1.1 +/ 2.1 ppm/a. Although this standard deviation is partly determined by the sampling of ERBE we may estimate the uncertainty of a possible trend to be <3 ppm/a for periods longer than 10 to 15 years. This implies a possible change of 50 to 80 ppm over the 23 years of the observations. If we
add the uncertainties related to the tracing of ACRIMII to I and of the HF correction (60 ppm) we get a total uncertainty of 92 ppm. The observed change of the PMOD composite as difference between two successive minima amounts to 10 ppm which is not
significantly different from zero at the 3sigma level.
The comparison of the three composites with ERBE shows that the PMOD composite is the most consistent. So, if one
believes the ERBE record, and with the Sperman's rank correlation coefficient s of the PMOD, ACRIM and IRMB composites of 0.751,
0.678 and 0.695, respectively, it becomes clear which one should be chosen as a reliable estimate of the total solar irradiance for the
last three solar cycles. <\p>
Figure 4. The PMOD composite TSI as daily values plotted in different colors for the different originating experiments. On the righthand side the new absolute scale of VIRGO is indicated and
the values of the average, and the minima values are also given in both scales.
PDF Figure
The great success of the proxy model (as e.g. described in Fröhlich and Lean, 2004) in explaining both the short and longterm
behaviour of the Sun during the last three cycles, it is now possible to expand the composite back to the minimum in 1976 (Fig.5).
Figure 5. The extended PMOD composite TSI as daily values plotted in different colors for the different originating experiments. The
differences between the minima values is also indicated, together with amplitudes of the three cycles.
PDF Figure
Since version 4.2 the composite is on the scale of the VIRGO TSI and no longer referred to SARR. The new characterization of the VIRGO radiometer (see VIRGO_Char2Space) provides a new absolute scale which is about 5.8 Wm2 or 0.42% lower than the original scale. Both scales are presented in Fig.4 and 5 and in the data files: for the composite
here, and for the extended one
here. During the last minimum VIRGO TSI amounts to 1359.66 ± 2.47 Wm2 which is within less than half the uncertainty equal to the value of TIM of 1360.52 Wm2.
References
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(SARR) during the ATLAS 2 flight period, Adv. Space Res., 16, 1723, 1995.
Dewitte, S, D. Crommelynck, S. Mekaoui, A. Joukoff, Merasurement and Uncertainty of the longterm Total Solar Irradiance Trend,
Sol.Phys., 224, pp 209216, 2004
Fröhlich, C., and J. Lean, The Sun’s total irradiance: Cycles and trends in the past two decades and associated climate
change uncertainties, Geophys. Res. Let., 25, 43774380, 1998.
Fröhlich, C., Observations of irradiance variability, Space Science Reviews, 94, 1524, 2000.
Fröhlich, C., Longterm behaviour of space radiometers, Metrologia, 40, 6065, 2003.
Fröhlich, C., Solar Irradiance Variability, in Solar Variability and its Effect on climate, Chapter 2: Solar Energy Flux Variations,
American Geophysical Union, Geophysical Monograph Series No. 141, 97110, 2004.
Fröhlich, C. and J. Lean: 2004, `Solar Radiative Output and its Variability: Evidence and Mechanisms'. Astron. and Astrophys. Rev.,
12, pp. 273320, 2004, doi: 10.1007/s0015900400241
Fröhlich, C., Solar Irradiance Variability Since 1978: Revision of the {PMOD} Composite During Solar Cycle 21, Space Sci. Rev., 125, 53–65, 2006. doi: 10.1007/s1121400690465.
Fröhlich, C., Total solar irradiance observations. Surveys in Geophysics, 33, 453–473, 2012. doi: 10.1007/s1071201191685.
Willson, R. C., Total solar irradiance trend during solar cycles 21 and 22, Science, 277, 19631965, 1997.
Willson, R. C., and A.V. Mordinov, Secular total solar irradiance trend during solar cycles 21 and 22, Geophys. Res. Let.,
30, 11991202, 2003.
Reponsible for this page is Claus Fröhlich ; last update of text (without references): October 2014
